Note: Due to lack of visibility and breakout of retail sales, communications companies such as Apple, Samsung, Verizon, AT&T, T-Mobile as well as Fuel/Convenience Stores (Exxon, Valero, etc.) are excluded from this index. Full list of rankings is at the bottom of the page.
Table of Contents
Definition of Segments
Overview of the Index
Top 7 Retailers Overall by AI Readiness
Top 7 Retailers Overall by Financial Impact of AI 2022-2029
Fast Moving Consumer Goods (FMCG)
Top 7 Fast Moving Consumer Goods AI Readiness (Grocery, Mass Merchants, Warehouse Clubs)
Top 7 Fast Moving Consumer Goods by Financial Impact of AI 2022-2029
Top 7 Apparel Retailers by AI Readiness (Apparel, Shoes, Luggage)
Top 7 Apparel Retailers by Financial Impact of AI 2022-2029
Top 7 Hard Goods Retailers by AI Readiness (DIY, Electronics, Books, Furniture, Pets, Sporting Goods, etc.)
Top 7 Hard Goods Retailers by Financial Impact of AI 2022-2029
Health and Beauty
Top 7 Health and Beauty Retailers by AI Readiness (Drug Stores, Cosmetics)
Top 7 Health and Beauty Retailers by Financial Impact of AI 2022-2029
Top 7 Restaurant Chains by AI Readiness (Fast Food, Bar/Table Service)
Top 7 Restaurant Chains by Financial Impact of AI 2022-2029
Pure Play Ecommerce
Top 7 Ecommerce Retailers by AI Readiness (All segments for online only or mostly online retailers)
Top 7 Ecommerce Retailers by Financial Impact of AI 2022-2029
All 215 Retailers in the Index
List includes current revenues, AI Readiness score, total financial impact forecast 2022-2029
Breakdown of impact by Sales Growth, Gross Margin Improvement, SG&A Improvement
Companies included with Retail AI Readiness scores and AI Impact 2022-2029 include the following:
AMCON Distributing Company, ARAMARK, Aaron’s, Abercrombie & Fitch, Advance Auto Parts, Albertsons Companies, Allbirds, Amazon.com, American Eagle Outfitters, Ark Restaurants Corporation, Asbury Automotive Group, AutoZone, B & G Food Enterprises, BAB, Inc. [Big Apple Bagels], BJ’s Restaurants, BJ’s Wholesale Club, BMC Select, Barnes & Noble Education, Bath & Body Works, Beacon Roofing Supply, Best Buy, Big 5 Sporting Goods, Big Lots, Biglari Holdings, Blue Apron, Boot Barn, Boston Pizza International, Brilliant Earth, Brinker International, Build-A-Bear Workshop, Burlington Coat Factory, CDW Corp., CVS Health, Caleres, Camping World Holdings, Canada Goose, Canadian Tire Corp., Carrols Restaurant Group, Carter’s, Cheesecake Factory, Chewy.com, Chico’s FAS, Chipotle Mexican Grill, Chuy’s, Inc., Citi Trends, Columbia Sportswear Company, Conn’s Inc., Costco Wholesale Corporation, Cracker Barrel Old Country Store, Crocs, Inc., Darden Restaurants, Dave & Buster’s, Denny’s Corporation, Designer Brands, Destination XL Group, Dick’s Sporting Goods, Dillard’s, Dine Brands Global, Dollar General Corporation, Dollar Tree, Dollarama, Domino’s Pizza, Duluth Trading Company, Dutch Bros Coffee, Ebay, El Pollo Loco, Estee Lauder, Ethan Allen Interiors, Etsy, Express, Family Fare Supermarkets, Fastenal, Fat Brands, Ferguson Enterprises, Fiesta Restaurant Group, Finning, FirstCash, Five Below, Flanigan’s Enterprises, Floor And Decor Outlets Of America, Foot Locker, Fossil, Franklin Planner Corp, Gaiam Inc., GameStop-US, Gap, Inc., Genesco, Genuine Parts Company/NAPA, GoPro Inc, Good Times Restaurants, Grocery Outlet, Group 1 Automotive, Groupon Inc., Guess, Inc., Harley-Davidson, Havertys Furniture Companies, Hibbett Sports, Hugo Boss, Indigo Books & Music, Ingles Markets, Jack in the Box, Jo-Ann Stores, Kirkland’s, Kohl’s, Kura Sushi USA, LL Flooring, La-Z-Boy, Lands’ End, Leon’s Furniture, Limited, Lindt & Sprungli USA, Liquor Stores NA, Loblaw Companies Ltd., Lowe’s Home Improvement Cos., Lululemon Athletica, Lumen [CenturyLink], MTY Food Group, Macy’s, MarineMax, McDonald’s Corporation, Meritage Hospitality Group, Metro, Inc.-Canada, Miniso, Monro Muffler Brake, Movado Group, Muscle Maker Grill, Nathan’s Famous, National Pen, Natural Grocers, Nike, Noodles & Company, Nordstrom, O’Reilly Automotive, Odd Burger, Office Depot, Ollie’s Bargain Outlet, Option Care Health, Overstock.com, PANDORA A/S, PC Connection, Papa John’s International, Pfaltzgraff, Pier 1 Imports, Pittsburgh Paints-PPG, PriceSmart, Qurate Retail Group, Rakuten.com, Ralph Lauren, Rave Restaurant Group, Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Reitmans(Canada), Rent The Runway, Restaurant Brands International, Restoration Hardware, Richelieu Hardware Ltd., Rite Aid Corporation, Rocky Mountain Chocolate Factory, Inc., Roots Canada, LTD, Ross Stores, Inc., Sally Beauty Holdings, Inc., Scholastic Inc., Shake Shack, Sherwin-Williams, Shoe Carnival, Inc., ShopHQ, Skechers U.S.A., Inc., Sleep Number Corporation, Sonos, SpartanNash Company, Sportsman’s Warehouse, Sprouts Farmers Market, LLC, Starbucks Coffee Co., Steve Madden, Stitch Fix, Sweetgreen, Systemax, T.J. Maxx, Tanger Outlets, Tapestry, Inc., Target Corporation, Texas Roadhouse, The Buckle, The Cato Corporation, The Children’s Place, The Home Depot, The J. Jill Group, The Kroger Co., The North West Company, The One Group, The Walking Company Holdings, ThredUP, Tilly’s, Torrid, Tractor Supply Co., Ulta Beauty, Urban Outfitters, Vera Bradley, Victoria’s Secret Stores, Village Super Market[Shoprite], Vince, Walgreens Boots Alliance, Walmart Stores, Warby Parker, Wayfair.com, Weis Markets, Wendy’s International, Williams-Sonoma, Wolverine World Wide, YETI Coolers, Yum! Brands, Zumiez, e.l.f. Beauty, easyhome ltd.
The AI Readiness Index was created from numerous public and private resources from IHL’s research.
1. Overall AI Forecast
We started by creating a forecast for AI Impact for worldwide retail, forecasting that impact from 2022-2029 worldwide, segment, and tier. We used the standard financial statement for our basis. We started with a standard forecast for retail sales for the next 7 years and then we added potential AI impact. For instance, forecast AI impact in 3 buckets: Sales Growth, Cost of Goods improvement and Sales/General Administrative (SG&A) improvements that AI could provide. From that, we then looked at those impacts by year in 3 categories of AI. The traditional AI/ML, Generative AI, and Artificial General Intelligence later in the decade. More detail can be found here on our overall forecast.
2. AI Impact by Line of Business Function and Solution Area
We then used our Worldview IT 10 Line of Business categories (Business Intelligence, Commerce, Sales & Marketing, Distribution and Supply Chain, etc) to segment the total impact for each area by each of the AI types. Further, we used solution types as a way of even further defining business impact…what do retailers do with these solutions – what impact do these make in an organization? Some are more impacted than others and our total forecast is impacted by that.
3. IHL Sophia for companies
In our Sophia intelligent lead service, we track the hardware, software, services and key personnel. What we show publicly is the publicly available data for each company. But we have a great deal more NDA data for installs by retailers and vendors due to our analyst reports. Although we have many thousands of retailers in the database, we limited this first index to public retailers based in North America. The reason for this is accurate financials for sales, sales growth and profit is critical to the index we created. Those most ready to take advantage are not just those that have their systems in order but are in the financial shape to make the investments required to truly scale this technology.
4. The AI Readiness Index
Once steps 1 and 2 were created we had the parameters to work from that would allow us to evaluate individual retailers against each other. We then created a 9-part algorithm for evaluation and ranking. This algorithm included total revenue (scale matters in AI), data maturity, analytics maturity, alignment with AI leaders and key vendors, retail segment (segment has big impact on AI due to availability of clean data and scale), cloud score (how much do they leverage cloud for data lakes – whether public or private), sales growth $, and profit growth $ (free cash flow and profitability matters).
5. The end result
The end result is each retailer receives a score from 0-100 and we have the financial impact forecast for each retailer. That is what included in this study. We are also planning to add the entire detailed forecast by line of business category for each retailer in our Sophia system going forward. So, if you are interested in our view of what AI will bring for impact to Walmart’s merchandising and supply chain systems, we will have a forecast for that.
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